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“The Wisdom of McRibs” — Annie’s Newsletter, November 16, 2018

THE WISDOM OF McRIBS – Nick Maggiulli and our tendency to infer causality from coincidence

CROWDS AS DECISION TOOLS – The power of a large, independent sample

BELIEVE RESPONSIBLY – William Kingdon Clifford and the universal moral responsibility for calibrated beliefs

“THEY RUINED POPCORN!” – Cass Sunstein and the value of information and willingness-to-pay

HOW MUCH, THEN, IS IGNORANCE WORTH? – How and why we’ll PAY to avoid partisan information

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“Mid-Term Election Edition”— Annie’s Newsletter, November 9, 2018

Or … as a friend called it, “What happened after Annie lost her shit on Twitter”

Can forecasting depolarize our political conversation?

Vital tool (with a cool name), via Joseph Sweeney

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“Why A Good Truth Is Hard To Find (Part I)” — Annie’s Newsletter, November 2, 2018

— Why A Good Truth Is Hard to Find (Part I)

Processing fluency: We like and believe things oft repeated

— Why A Good Truth Is Hard to Find (Part II)

The “confidence heuristic”: Make it simple, sound certain, and we’ll believe

— The Hidden Tribes Study

New data on why we’re polarized and where to go from here

The trouble surmounting the intractable minority

— Algorithms To The Rescue?

For fake-news detection, AI finds what we can already spot

— Morality To The Rescue of Algorithms?

If you’re concerned about self-driving cars making moral choices, this should make you feel better: Humans don’t even agree on those choices

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“My-Side Bias, Part II” — Annie’s Newsletter, October 26, 2018

1. MY-SIDE BIAS, PART II – The counterintuitive effect of training on mitigating bias
2. WHAT FRESH HELL …? – Midterm-election polls, pre-election expectations, and Nate Silver’s sobering message
3. TRANSPARENCY MATTERS – But sometimes HOW MUCH it matters depends on whether you’re looking OUT or looking IN
4. IS EIGHTY MILLION SUPPOSED TO BE A LOT? – Netflix seeds its narrative with a potentially meaningless statistic
5. TEST YOURSELF – Did these 21 social science experiments replicate?

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“Accentuate The Positive” — Annie’s Newsletter, October 19, 2018

In this week’s newsletter:

1. “ACCENTUATE THE POSITIVE” – What biases in the reporting of drug studies show us about our own decision-making

2. “DIFFERENT KINDS OF SMART” – We’re fortunate if we’re one kind of smart but that means there is still a lot we don’t know

3. WHAT’S LUCK GOT TO DO WITH IT? – If “it” is wealth distribution, luck has plenty to do with it just like it does in all our outcomes

4. (A SYLLOGISM:) ALL PEOPLE HAVE COGNITIVE BIASES – Some cognitive biases involve motivated reasoning – Some people engage in motivated reasoning

5. WHY EXTREMISTS AND SCAMMERS THRIVE ON SOCIAL MEDIA – And why banning individual accounts won’t accomplish much

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