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“Mangling the Message” — Annie’s Newsletter, July 6, 2018
MANGLING THE MESSAGE – Bloomberg.com drops the ball on communicating the probabilistic nature of World Cup predictions Predictions are probabilistic in nature. This means that,
“Political Parties Drive Moral Judgement” — Annie’s Newsletter, June 29, 2018
POLITICAL PARTIES DRIVE MORAL JUDGMENT – Recent studies and examples – The new wrinkle: outgroup cues are particularly strong @DaveCiuk just published a paper in Research &
“A Pair of Recent Articles on Poker’s Lessons for Decision Making Amid Uncertainty” & Much More
TALKS AT GOOGLE My recent conversation in Mountainview I had the opportunity to have an amazing conversation with Jordan Thibodeau as part of “Talks at Google.” It
“The Long Way Home – And Back” & Much More
THE LONG WAY FROM HOME – AND BACK Notes from the St. Paul’s reunion (Form of ’83) and baccalaureate address (Form of ’18) I recently
“A Good Framework For Two Kinds of Uncertainty” – Annie’s Newsletter, June 1st, 2018
A GOOD FRAMEWORK FOR TWO KINDS OF UNCERTAINTY: Aleatory (luck) & Epistemic (hidden information) – Explained in a paper by Craig Fox and Gulden Ulkumen
“Henry Kissinger Warns That A.I. Could End Human Enlightenment” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 25th, 2018
HENRY KISSINGER WARNS THAT A.I. COULD END HUMAN ENLIGHTENMENT What’s the likelihood he’s correct? Henry Kissinger recently wrote a thoughtful piece about artificial intelligence in @TheAtlantic. The article
“Group Decision Disaster (Squared)” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 18th, 2018
GROUP DECISION DISASTER (SQUARED): Slow process (rarely meeting) + slow transmission of information (majority-rule decisions) @QuartzAtWork published a great piece last week, “How to design teams to
“David Hasselhoff may have been ahead of the curve on self-driving cars” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 11th, 2018
DAVID HASSELHOFF MAY HAVE BEEN AHEAD OF THE CURVE ON SELF-DRIVING CARS What’s next: beachwear that helps you run in slow-motion? Last Friday, May 4,
“The NFL Draft” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 4th, 2018
THE NFL DRAFT A grand decision experiment, wrapped in a pageant Last week, the NFL drafted newly eligible players for the 2018 season. You could
“Epistemic Spillovers” – Annie’s Newsletter, April 27th, 2018
EPISTEMIC SPILLOVERS “I don’t like that plumber’s bumper sticker. I’m sure I can install my own toilet.” Last week, I wrote about the difference between