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THE PHILLY SPECIAL Eagles’ coach Doug Pederson made some great coaching moves, but what made them special was that they worked Congratulations to my Philadelphia

TUESDAY IS PUBLICATION DAY FOR THINKING IN BETS This Tuesday, February 6, is Publication Day for Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All

A TRIO OF UNLIKELY, BUT TRULY MAGICAL WORDS “I’m not sure” (though “I don’t know” works just as well) You can now “Look Inside” Thinking in

WEIGHING TERRORISM: SCALE VS. THREAT Thought-provoking perspectives on public priorities On Monday, Steven Pinker (@SAPinker) tweeted, “how much should the government pay to eliminate a disease

THE LOCAL WEATHER REPORT … which is also, occasionally, a bipartisan alternative to science There was a lot of eye-rolling when President Trump tweeted this in December:

THE TAX PLAN: WHICH PARTY HAS THE WINNING NARRATIVE? Dueling messages and the “Ultimatum Game” One of the biggest year-end news stories was the passage

  INTERNATIONAL STATISTIC OF THE YEAR Americans killed by jihadists, armed toddlers, and lightning but no word on shark attacks  The Royal Statistical Society (@RoyalStatSoc)

THE “12 ITEMS OR LESS” LAB Paying a professional line-waiter vs. paying more for an item I admit it: if a story title contains the

  A Fresh Perspective on Free Speech …from 2,500 years ago  TheAtlantic.com (@theatlantic) recently published an article that gives color to why we seem to be talking

Decision strategy and its components: human behavior, science, uncertainty, failure, collaboration, dissent, exchange of ideas, probabilistic thinking, and anything I think might attract the attention