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NEWSLETTER: “What i’ve been reading”

I’ve been deep into the research for my next book and thought I would share some of what I am reading for it. Check out my newsletter today for recommendations. 👇🏻

Perhaps you can surmise the topic from the books I am recommending!

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“Don’t Have a Crystal Ball?” — Annie’s Newsletter, January 18, 2019

DON’T HAVE A CRYSTAL BALL? – Base rates are the next best thing.

“WANNA BET?” ON THE STOCK MARKET – An illustration of thinking in bets when you have little knowledge or expertise.

THE PARADOX OF UNCERTAINTY- Counterintuitively, being more uncertain leads to greater accuracy.

CIVIL DISAGREEMENT? ON THE INTERNET? – Reddit’s Change My View forum.

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“The Most Important Thing To Know”— Annie’s Newsletter, December 7, 2018

THE MOST IMPORTANT THING TO KNOW? – Jim O’Shaughnessy: “Some things I don’t know”

IDENTIFYING (AND DEVELOPING?) INTUITION – from a Daniel Kahneman speech

THE ELECTRONIC FLU-SHOT NUDGE – from Penn Medicine’s Nudge Unit

HUMANS VS. MACHINES. AGAIN. AND THIS TIME, IT’S NOT SERIOUS – Algorithms outperform humans at what predicting what we think will be funny

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“Prevailing Over Uncertainty” — Annie’s Newsletter, November 30, 2018

PREVAILING OVER UNCERTAINTY? Rick Jones asked, so we came up with something

THE GURU EFFECT – The flip side of processing fluency

TROUBLE DISTINGUISHING FAKE NEWS? “Rating” (rather than “consuming”) gets us to favor accuracy over confirmation

MORAL CONTAGION ON SOCIAL NETWORKS – Moral-emotional language helps messages spread, but only in-group

SPEAKING OF DIFFERENT LANGUAGES … How in-group/out-group language obscures areas of agreement

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“The Wisdom of McRibs” — Annie’s Newsletter, November 16, 2018

THE WISDOM OF McRIBS – Nick Maggiulli and our tendency to infer causality from coincidence

CROWDS AS DECISION TOOLS – The power of a large, independent sample

BELIEVE RESPONSIBLY – William Kingdon Clifford and the universal moral responsibility for calibrated beliefs

“THEY RUINED POPCORN!” – Cass Sunstein and the value of information and willingness-to-pay

HOW MUCH, THEN, IS IGNORANCE WORTH? – How and why we’ll PAY to avoid partisan information

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